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旧 2002-06-04   #10
xiaowenz
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Wink math Q for juanbi

to my understanding, when i dodge fifo's juanbi successfully,

my possible busy time (random(3)) should be {0, 1, 2, 3}, 25% chance for each;
fifo's possible busy time (1+random(2)) should be {1, 2, 3}, 33% chance for each;
total combination of all possible situation is 4x3=12;

so the chance

my busy longer than fifo's is {3 vs. 1, 3 vs. 2, 2 vs. 1}, 3/12 = 1/4;

our busy time same is {3 vs. 3, 2 vs. 2, 1 vs. 1}, 3/12 = 1/4;

his busy longer than mine is {2 vs. 3, 1 vs. 2, 1 vs. 3, 0 vs. 1, 0 vs. 2, 0 vs. 3}, 6/12 = 1/2

that means, if i pf6 after fifo juanbi fail, 1/2 chance it will work, 1/4 chance i am in busy, can not pf at all, 1/4 chance i can, if i type alias faster than he does, but he is not in busy, and i will busy 3 tick myself after that. And remember, it's the situation i dodged his juanbi SUCCESSFULLY!

lucky fifo need qiecuo sp. spells while i can practice moondance. sweat.



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